Cain's nomination faces uphill climb

President TrumpDonald John TrumpSanders set for five-state Midwestern swing Tax refunds through March down billion from last year Tariffs on ‘Mexican cars’ are just taxes on American consumers MORE’s plan to nominate Herman Cain to the Federal Reserve Board faces a steep climb with GOP senators.

Trump said Thursday that he intends to tap Cain, a former Republican presidential candidate and corporate executive, as he moves to stock the central bank with loyalists.

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While GOP senators have been largely supportive of Trump’s previous financial nominees, even those with similarly unconventional résumés, there are early signs that Republicans could balk at the president’s latest pick.

Overshadowing his potential nomination are allegations of sexual harassment that Cain has denied, but which derailed a 2012 presidential campaign.

Four women who were employed by Cain at the National Restaurant Association, a Washington trade group, have accused him of sexual harassment, and two of his accusers received financial settlements over their claims.

Those allegations would likely play a prominent role during a confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee.

Cain has served in several top advisory roles for the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City from 1989 to 1996 and in stints as a fast-food restaurant chief executive and restaurant industry advocate in Washington.

But Cain also started a PAC last year to raise money for Trump’s reelection campaign and has fiercely defended the president on his website and radio show, raising concerns about how he would affect the central bank’s independence.

“Democrats will make more noise about the harassment allegations and obviously about him having a website and super PAC dedicated to defending Trump,” said Ian Katz, director at Capital Alpha Partners, a political intelligence and policy advisory firm.

Cain’s official nomination is contingent on a pending White House background check. Though Trump and his top aides say Cain would likely clear the vetting process, it’s unclear if Republican senators will back a nominee who’s been accused of sexual misconduct multiple times, forcing them to hold public hearings with the 2020 elections ahead.

Cain said in a Friday video posted to his Facebook page that he’s unsure if he would still be nominated after the White House’s “cumbersome” vetting process. But he said he welcomed the chance to defend himself over sexual harassment charges and insisted he was “not going to let the accusers run my life or determine my career.”

“Let them go back and dig up eight-year-old stuff,” Cain said. “I will be able to explain this time where they wouldn’t let me explain it last time. They were too busy believing the accusers.”

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Republican senators also faced political pressure during the confirmation process for Supreme Court Justice Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughJuan Williams: McConnell’s hypocrisy on the courts Donald Trump has secured the future of our American courts Larry Kudlow defends Herman Cain: A lot of sexual allegations ‘don’t necessarily pan out’ MORE, who denied accusations of sexual assault.

But it is unclear if there is much appetite for a similar public fight over Cain.

Female Republican lawmakers, including Sens. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyBig Dem names show little interest in Senate The Hill’s Morning Report – Can Joe Biden turn the page? Mark Kelly raises eye-popping million in Arizona Senate race MORE (Ariz.), Joni ErnstJoni Kay ErnstBig Dem names show little interest in Senate Iowa Republican on Trump claim: If windmill noise caused cancer I’d have ‘church bell cancer’ Disaster relief talks stalled by Trump feud with Puerto Rico MORE (Iowa) and Susan CollinsSusan Margaret CollinsThis week: Democrats revive net neutrality fight Mulvaney: Trump admin to release ObamaCare replacement plan ‘fairly shortly’ Mulvaney: Trump ‘absolutely’ could still cut off aid to Central American nations MORE (Maine), could also face a tough choice over backing the president’s pick. Both McSally and Ernst have spoken this year about their experiences with sexual assault in the past.

The White House has sought to downplay the seriousness of the allegations against Cain, preparing a defense for the potential nominee should Trump decide to move ahead.

Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council, expressed confidence in Cain on Sunday, referencing Kavanaugh’s successful confirmation.

“We’ve seen, whether it’s Supreme Court justices or many other things, we’ve seen a lot of charges here,” Kudlow said on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“They don’t necessarily pan out,” Kudlow said.

Kudlow also defended Cain’s qualifications for the Fed board, saying he had gained ample experience as chairman of the Kansas City Fed.

Cain’s future could become clearer on Tuesday when senators, including Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellThe Hill’s Morning Report – Trump cleaning house on border security This week: Democrats revive net neutrality fight Juan Williams: McConnell’s hypocrisy on the courts MORE (R-Ky.), face reporters for the first time this week.

McConnell has focused on confirming as many Trump nominees as possible, and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Mike CrapoMichael (Mike) Dean CrapoSenate confirms Trump pick for agency overseeing Fannie, Freddie Protect small lenders in GSE reform On The Money: Wells Fargo CEO steps down | Trump vows to keep funding for Special Olympics | House panel approves marijuana banking bill | Controversial Fed pick gains support in Senate MORE (R-Idaho) has prioritized filling the two remaining spots on the seven-person Fed board.

But the initial reception to Cain being floated for a Fed post was cold at best. A Senate GOP aide predicted to The Washington Post that Cain would not have the votes needed.

The sole Republican to publicly support Cain so far is Georgia Sen. David Perdue, a member of the Senate Banking Committee, who told reporters Friday that he would be “a great addition” to the Fed board.

“He’s a business guy — he’s got a great background for it. I know him personally,” Perdue said of Cain, an Atlanta native whom the senator befriended while both worked in the private sector.

The handful of other Republican senators who’ve commented on Cain’s potential nomination expressed doubts that the president will follow through with an official appointment.

“You never know what they do,” said Sen. Richard ShelbyRichard Craig ShelbyLegislation slows to crawl in divided Washington Disaster relief talks stalled by Trump feud with Puerto Rico McConnell caught between Trump, GOP on disaster relief MORE (R-Ala.) of the Trump administration.

“A lot of times they throw a nomination out [there], see how it plays. And then they vet them, and then they check them out,” added Shelby, a member and former chairman of the Banking committee.

Sen. Mitt RomneyWillard (Mitt) Mitt RomneyBattle begins over Trump tax returns Romney: ‘Moronic’ for Dems to go after Trump’s tax returns with legislative action GOP gets used to saying ‘no’ to Trump MORE (R-Utah), the 2012 GOP presidential nominee, also said Friday that he doubted Cain would be officially nominated. And Sen. Roy BluntRoy Dean BluntLegislation slows to crawl in divided Washington Permanence for CBMTRA is a small business win across America Dems face pressure from left to step up court fight on ‘blue slips’    MORE (R-Mo.) demurred Friday when asked his opinion of Cain, saying, “I don’t know anything about his past service.”

A spokeswoman for Crapo declined to comment on Cain’s nomination, and spokespeople for the nine Republicans on the Banking panel other than Shelby and Perdue did not respond to requests for comment.

GOP lawmakers have become more comfortable with breaking from Trump in 2019, including over the emergency declaration, the United States’ role in the Yemeni civil war and the administration’s support for a lawsuit to strike down all of the Affordable Care Act.

But filling the Federal Reserve board also has high stakes for Trump, who has hammered the bank for not lowering interest rates. Trump sees lower rates as essential to having a strong economy in 2020.

For Trump, securing Cain on the Fed could be an important fight to rally his base and exert his control over the bank.

His plans to tap Cain come just two weeks after he said he would tap former campaign adviser and conservative commentator Stephen Moore for the Fed board, drawing criticism for picking a fierce partisan for the independent central bank.

Republicans foiled two of Trump’s previous Fed nominees over concerns about their policy views: Carnegie Mellon professor Marvin Goodfriend and former Fed Director Nellie Liang.

Goodfriend was approved by the Banking panel but never considered by the full Senate after conservatives voiced concerns about his controversial monetary policy proposals. Liang withdrew her nomination earlier this year as Republicans spoke out against her support for strict financial regulations.

Moore, too, has faced his own questions, disputing an IRS claim that he owes the agency $75,000.

Katz said Cain’s supporters will likely cite his chairmanship of the Kansas City Fed. But Katz added that Cain’s “detractors will likely point out that those boards are not policy-making, and are largely regional business execs who advise on economic issues affecting that Fed district.”

Cain’s previous support for the gold standard — tying the value of the U.S. dollar to a set amount of gold — could also cost him support among Republicans.

If Trump does go ahead with the nomination, Katz said it could be a difficult, drawn-out fight.

“For Cain, there may not be one big knockout blow, but he’s going to take a lot of kidney punches,” Katz said.

Jordain Carney contributed.